Conclusion

Introduction

I ended last week’s column by suggesting that the commercial banks – which account for 58% of the mortgage lending by financial institutions – have both the liquidity and the reserves to withstand any significant reduction in house prices and consequential foreclosures. I believe that the position is different with the non-bank mortgage lenders which would include the insurance companies and more significantly the New Building Society which by definition is heavily invested in the housing sector.

The NBS accounts for 31% of the assets of the non-bank financial institutions and has some 51% of its own assets in mortgage loans, by far the most exposed institution in the sub-sector. Part one of this column two weeks ago noted that the commercial banks have been gaining market share…..