By Rawle Lucas
Rawle Lucas is a Guyanese-born Certified Public Accountant and Assistant Vice President of the Lending Services Division.
Rawle Lucas is a Guyanese-born Certified Public Accountant and Assistant Vice President of the Lending Services Division.
Mr. Lucas has agreed to serve as a columnist with the Stabroek Business and will be contributing articles on economic, financial and development matters.
Good Stuff
I have been trying to find out the reason why the administration is making a big fuss about signing the Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA) negotiated between the European Union (EU) and the CARIFORUM states but to no avail. I have seen no specific reasons advanced by the administration for objecting to the document even though it has taken a position on the matter apparently with the support of the private sector. With the use of Internet technology, I gained access to the EPA document to be signed by the two sides to see if I could determine the reason or reasons why the administration is suddenly up in arms about the section of the document that deals with services. . I am baffled by the position of the administration since a read of the document tells me that, in spite of its flaws, the agreement is replete with good stuff that supports a variety of activities currently being pursued by the government. Despite the criticisms of the document from various quarters, it is my view that, once the Guyanese people get to learn of the many useful provisions of the agreement, they would be delighted with it and would urge the administration to sign it.
Personal Financial Benefits
Admittedly, the document is no spy thriller but those Guyanese with an interest in development matters will see that the EPA, in some parts, is an agreement that speaks directly to them. With several provisions catering to micro and small business, Guyanese will also see that the EPA gives them an opportunity to enjoy economic and financial freedom if they are prepared to take responsibility for their own development. Other provisions allow professional Guyanese trained in disciplines such as engineering, architecture, midwifery and so on to take advantage of business or work opportunities that may arise in Guyana and in European markets with the help of European or CARIFORUM investors.
Apart from the personal financial benefits that such opportunities harbor, they enable Guyanese to learn new techniques and hone existing skills that could be transferred easily at far less cost than bringing one or two “experts” at a time. The personal and public payoff is enormous, something of which the administration may not have thought or cared as it complained of the agreement.
In addition, the pressure to adopt corrupt practices to make ends meet could ease as increasing numbers of professional Guyanese get to earn money that could help improve their lifestyles and enable them to save for a satisfactory retirement.
Guyanese, however, have to prepare themselves for these opportunities and make the required effort if they want to benefit from the relevant provisions of the agreement.
Little Recourse
Beyond the personal benefits of the EPA, there are the broader investment, economic, financial and trade transactions that can bring much needed change to the Guyana economy and to the lives of Guyanese as a whole. The potential for trade and foreign investment is huge. Yet, by refusing to sign the EPA, the administration is acting as if this is a small matter.
According to current estimates, over 30 percent of the goods exported by Guyana go to the EU. If Guyana is cutoff from the EU market for not signing the agreement, the options available to it are not very good. Guyana could find itself scrambling for markets among countries that either produce the same products or can buy them cheaper from elsewhere. Knowing this makes it more baffling as to why the administration, with very little recourse outside the dispute resolution provisions of the agreement, would threaten to stay out of the agreement and publicly try to offend the EU and other CARICOM countries.
EU Support
Within the last two years, the administration has been quite vociferous about building up the competitive position of Guyanese businesses and diversifying the Guyana economy. The pursuit of these goals is laudable even though the interest in doing so is not new. What is different is that there is a real chance of strengthening the competitive capacity of Guyanese businesses and of broadening the economy with tangible support from external donors and investors.
The Inter-American Development Bank (IDB) has already contributed to this effort. Additional financial and technical contributions are possible from the EU through the workings of the EPA. Indeed, a central feature of the EPA is to support the efforts of CARIFORUM states to build up the capacity of private sector businesses to compete in regional and global markets.
The beauty about the EU commitment is that it is not limited to any one sector or a given size of business. Micro, small and medium sized businesses all have the opportunity to access whatever resources the EU is prepared to put into the economies of the states. Public officials have already stated that the Guyana economy is dominated by small business. Consequently, the provisions of the EPA could reach deep into the Guyana economy and help change the lives of ordinary Guyanese. It would appear, therefore, that a small business with a vision and a desire to succeed could become a big time and long-term player in the Guyana economy with EU help and investment.
Additionally, amidst a range of trade, business and investment activities, the EU has pledged to support eco-innovation and to facilitate the production and commercialization of innovation across the board. Further, it is prepared to support research and development in science and technology that could have a positive impact on innovation and creativity. In addition, the EU is willing to engage in joint ventures and joint activities with local businesses from the CARIFORUM states, and assist in developing process quality.
Potential for Job Creation
Through all these efforts, the potential for job creation is enormous. In light of such possibilities, it is hard to imagine what arguments the administration could have advanced to convince the private sector and other parts of civil society to accept a position of resistance to the EPA. The private sector stands to benefit from engaging with the firms and other actors in the EU.
Individuals stand to benefit from skill development, advances in science and technology and work opportunities at higher pay. Businesses also stand to benefit from market opportunities and access to resources. Any reasonable person with interest in this matter would therefore want to know what is driving the administration to oppose the EPA.
Accountability
As I see it, several provisions of the EPA could put the administration in a position that it abhors, being accountable to anyone, least of all the Guyanese people. Accountability and transparency are integral to the operation of the EPA and the people of Guyana should believe that their presence in the agreement could force behavioral change in the administration. In the absence of a clear explanation as to why it opposes the agreement, it is reasonable to speculate that the administration is fearful that its wings will be clipped if Guyana signs the EPA.
For example, the EPA requires each CARIFORUM country to establish a competition commission and to notify the joint EU-CARIFORUM Council when it was done. The EPA anticipates that the competition commission will conduct itself appropriately and if it does not, the competition commission could be challenged in the joint council. As readers probably know, the administration passed competition legislation over two years ago and has still not established the competition commission.
In addition, for five years now the private sector has been waiting on the administration to establish the Public Procurement Commission mandated by the Guyana constitution, and expected with the passage of the Procurement Act of 2003. If the administration continues to resist creating the commission, that too could be brought to the attention of the joint EU-CARIFORUM Council for resolution.
The preceding examples are only two in a series of administrative and policy actions contained in the EPA that could finally force the administration to start working on behalf of all the Guyanese people. The existence of the EPA looks like a blessing in disguise and may turn out to be the best thing that has happened to Guyana in a long time.
Thus, the administration faces an interesting dilemma, join the EPA and reform or stay out and face economic retribution. The ball is now in the administration’s court. Let us see what it does on behalf of the people of Guyana.
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Yes they may be able to find job positions for our skilled people overseas as is being done in America, but that is called brain drain my friends, and in any case it is wishful thinking at best and an outright lie at worst.
Right now Europe is in no position to offer anyone jobs, when they are laying off hundreds of thousands of their own employees, they need jobs themselves.
Mirco loans are a total gimmick, It will put the poor people into further debt by its very nature, because with small amounts of money given to people that does not have a clue about sound money management and what it takes to payback a 12% loan over a period of 5 to 30 years, will only cause them misery and failure.
One lady is asking for the loan to plant peppers, another need a loan to raise some chickens, all those are subsistence enterprises, that will fold under the sheer burden of repayment of principle and interest.
If need be, I can present a mock up scenerio of what it will take to raise some chickens in order to repay $5,000.00 US at 12% interest, and I will demonstrate that it is less painful for the lady to take the money, throw a big party, spend the rest on anything she pleases and let the loan go into default, that way she will spare herself all the pain and sacrifice, since the end result will be the same..
These folks are throwing conventional economic development intentions at us, only problem with that, is they have absolutely no intentions of following through.
Of course they will give you the money and let you screw the plan up yourself, just bear in mind you have to pay it back, because that is their bottom line.
The EU, my friends are not in the business of assisting and nurturing business development and your country, it is too slow ROI, (Return on Investment). They do not want you to build your own shoe factory, they want you to continue to buy Nikes, which they have made in China for about 5 bucks a pop.
For instance, lets look at some of the “big business” in Guyana that SN ever so often shows their stock portfolio, even the penny stock traders will not even glance at those businesses, what one might decide, is to just buy the entire business, dismantle it, and sell the assets for a profit, and what I just said is no joke, that is what they do all of the time, to businesses around the world.
A fast buck is what these boys are looking for, and the penny trader is a little kid with his hands in the cookie jar, compared to these master crooks and thieves in the EU.
Here is the solution, forgive all third world debt, since it was money that was created the same way that the US treasury and the Feds are creating money right now. That is, they print it, and lend it to the world as an instrument of Debt, it is legalised fraud, and a crime against humanity.
Allow all countries in this world to print their own money, in any amount they deem fit, and keep your derivitive traders from plundering it, hense causing massive devaluation, and also remove the trade restriction of a Worlds Reserve Currency, since it is international blackmail.
In five years time all of these countries will raise from the depths of despair, and prosper. Qualified Guyanese will be able to return home, since the Government will have all the money they need to pay for the skills, and no debt to repay to the EU.
Skinny would be a productive working man, with a nice little family living happily in Buxton. Instead he is dead, and many children continue to starve. All thanks to the EU, and their gang of crooks, who bring us nothing but gifts of pain and despair.
Joe.