In Africa, can Brazil be the anti-China?

NIMBA-BUCHANAN RAILWAY, Liberia,  (Reuters) – In the  muggy forest of central Liberia, a gang of workers is inching  its way along a railway track, cut long and straight through an  otherwise impenetrable mesh of trees and vines. The drone of  insects is interrupted by a high-pitched drill and the clang of  hammers as workers put the finishing touches to the perfectly  aligned steel tracks.

Chinese contractors walk past Congolese workers as they prepare to welcome a delegation from China Railways Engineering Company (CREC)in Kinshasa, March 29, 2010. REUTERS/Katrina Manson

Casting a watchful eye over the crew of workers is Lewis C.  Dogar, a veteran of Liberia’s railway. Dogar and a handful of  colleagues have been brought out of retirement to help reclaim  hundreds of kilometres of track from the jungle. The softly  spoken 64-year-old remembers Liberia’s booming 1960s and 1970s,  when trains laden with iron ore wound south from the mine on the  mist-shrouded Mount Nimba to the sweaty port town of Buchanan.  That finished with the outbreak of fighting, and two  back-to-back civil wars that lasted 14 years. The conflict,  which finally ended in 2003, left more than 200,000 people dead  and Liberia’s finances and infrastructure in ruins.

The gang of Liberian railway workers is a small sign things  may finally be improving. Some of the men have only recently  swapped their weapons for blue overalls and yellow hard hats.  “We have a few young boys coming out of high school,” Dogar  says. “I am happy that I am around to train people.”

Hiring locals might seem unremarkable on a continent with an  oversupply of cheap labour. But the issue of who works on  Africa’s big infrastructure projects has come into sharp focus  in recent years. At building sites from Angola to Zambia, teams  of Chinese workers often do the work instead of Africans. Where  locals are employed, their rough treatment by Chinese managers  has stirred bitterness. In Zambia last October, the Chinese  managers of Collum Mine shot and wounded 11 local coal miners  protesting over pay and working conditions.

That growing resentment is one reason why Brazilian  engineering group Odebrecht, contracted to get Liberia’s railway  rolling again, made a conscious decision to employ locals for  the job — and treated them well.

“It worked perfectly,” says project manager Pedro Paulo  Tosca, who decided to divide the 240 km (149 miles) of track  into sections and assign dozens of separate villages along the  way to clear them. “The majority of the heavy work was  activities that we could perform with local manpower instead of  bringing sophisticated equipment to the site.”

Odebrecht’s initiative is not solely altruistic, of course.  The unlisted company sees big profits in Africa. But as it  pushes into the continent, Odebrecht and other Brazilian firms  are using every chance they have to keep up with their Chinese  rivals, who often enjoy a massive financing advantage thanks to  the deep pockets of Beijing, and who rarely pay much attention  to factors like human rights.

As investment in Africa grows — foreign direct investment  surged to just under $59 billion in 2009 from around $10 billion  at the turn of the century, according to UNCTAD, the U.N.’s  agency that monitors global trade — so too do the expectations  of host nations, who want not just trade, roads and bridges, but  also jobs and training. Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala, World Bank managing  director and a former finance minister in Nigeria, told one of  China’s biggest mining conferences in November that investors in  Africa need to work with local communities to avoid conflicts  and start building the real economy rather than just stripping  resources. If it can build a reputation for doing just that,  Brazil  thinks, it might help it stay in the game.

“If (Brazil) wants to distinguish itself from the other  emerging powers, it needs to demonstrate what is different about  its engagement with Africa based on the principles it espouses  as a democratic country,” says Sanusha Naidu, research director  of the China/Emerging Powers in Africa Programme at Fahamu, a  Cape Town-based organisation that promotes human rights and  social justice. “It will also have to reconcile its economic  ambitions in Africa with its posture of being a democracy,  especially in cases where it does business with essentially  corrupt and malevolent regimes in Africa.”

“BETTER THAN NOTHING”

Odebrecht’s decision to employ people who live along the  track is clearly popular. After seven years of peace, Liberia’s  economy is only slowly getting back on its feet. In Buchanan,  the port, small businesses are feeding off the rebirth of the  railway, winning contracts to clean offices, transport material  or put food on the plates of workers. Though accurate figures  are hard to come by, Liberia’s unemployment rate is believed to  top 80 percent. Such is the hunger for jobs that a number of the  new railway workers have come from the capital, Monrovia,  hundreds of miles away.

As you head north towards the mines the only real signs of  development are the rubber-tapping collection points in the  clearings that pepper the thick green forest. President Ellen  Johnson-Sirleaf may have stabilised the nation but she faces  re-election later this year and is struggling to convince people  the economy is on the mend. Odebrecht’s 2007 decision to employ  3,000 villagers was a significant boost.

“We are happy with what we are earning… Something is better  than nothing,” says Abraham Browne, a village contractor,  between scooping mountains of rice into his mouth during a lunch  break. Browne has swapped subsistence farming for a daily wage  of about $4.50 for hammering nails into the tracks: “It helps us  send our brothers and sisters to school because some of our  parents are dead, killed in the war. It helps us a lot.”

Odebrecht asked each community along the track to select a  leader, with whom the Brazilian firm then signed a contract. The  company has completed more than 75 percent of the work with  Liberian labour, says manager Tosca. It has also trained up  teams of engineers, technicians and accountants to help run its  offices. The first iron ore, from a mine run by Luxembourg-based  ArcelorMittal, is due in mid-2011.

In terms of cost, the decision to hire locally “is cheaper  because labour here is not expensive,” says Tosca. “Of course,  you have a learning curve. The risk of accidents is higher —  therefore you have to invest more time in training. (But with  machines), if you have a breakdown, to have a part here, to  replace it, takes several weeks, if not months.”

A Chinese engineer covers his face from dust at a construction site in Sudan's capital Khartoum, February 16, 2009. REUTERS/Mohamed Nureldin Abdallah

Tosca says the company believes it has an obligation to help  the local economy, which in turn helps the company. “You create  loyalty. They wear the shirt of the company. It is (a) kind of  chemistry,” he says.

Former human rights activist Kofi Woods, now Liberia’s  minister for public works, says Brazil is an “important partner”  in developing the country.

A QUESTION OF ATTITUDE

Brazil is working that message hard. Former president Luiz  Inacio Lula da Silva, who stepped down in January, spent a good  part of his eight years in power selling Brazil as Africa’s  partner and highlighting the ways in which Brazil is built on  the “work, sweat and blood of Africans” shipped across the  Atlantic during the slave trade. Lula visited 25 African  nations, doubled the number of Brazilian embassies in Africa and  boosted trade to $26 billion in 2008 from $3.1 billion in 2000.

Gilberto Carvalho, chief of staff for Dilma Rousseff, Lula’s  hand-picked successor who won a presidential run-off late last  year, told Reuters that Africa will remain a top priority, not  just for the new team but for Lula too. The former president has  long said he would like to some further, but as yet unspecified,  role on the continent.

Brazilians seeking to do business in Africa are quick to  play up the cultural ties between the two places: dishes based  on palm oil, beans, okra and cashew nuts, the African religions  that live on across Brazil, the fact that almost 90 million  Brazilians have African roots. Inevitably, football player Pele  helps bring down barriers among Africans passionate about the  game, Brazilians say. “Brazilians are well-received in these  countries,” says a Brazilian diplomat serving in West Africa.  “We are a mixed country. We have cultures from lots of  countries. We were a colony, so people see us as equals. They  don’t see us as a power that comes to colonise.”

Adriana de Queiroz, Executive Coordinator at the Brazilian  Center for International Rela-tions, a think tank, says that  attitude helps. “We are going there to form partnerships and to  build up our companies,” de Queiroz says. “Petrobras, for  example, is not going to Africa to bring back oil to Brazil. It  is to grow the company in other markets. China is not there for  this reason. They are there to extract resources.”

While China is increasingly keen to emphasise non-resource  related projects, like helping countries set up special economic  zones to boost local industries, the differences have not gone  unnoticed in Africa.

Mthuli Ncube, chief economist and vice president of the  African Development Bank (AfDB) Group says conditions that some  African nations agreed with China have, in effect, created “a  barrier to employment creation” as China imports its own labour.  Brazil, on the other hand, has gone beyond commercial ties to  include social programmes and alliances with African countries.  “Brazil’s value of accountability when engaging with African  nations is bearing importance, especially when compared to China  and its ‘no strings attached policy’ that some African  governments are increasingly finding offensive.”

THE FINANCE GAME

When it comes to sheer numbers, though,  Brazil still lags a long way behind. China’s agile, state-backed  policies have pushed Beijing’s trade with Africa to $107 billion  a year. India too, has boosted links: India-Africa trade is  about $32 billion a year. That puts Brazil, with $20 billion in  trade in 2010 (it slipped after the credit crunch), in third  place. Rounding out the BRIC economies, Russia trails a distant  fourth, with just $3.5 billion in 2009, according to IMF data.

Brazil’s weak points are many. Start with financing. China  has long enjoyed links with Africa, but the bonds have deepened  since 2000, when Beijing embarked on a series of resource-backed  deals in which Africa handed over oil, bauxite, iron ore and  copper and cobalt in return for dams, power plants and other  infrastructure projects worth billions of dollars. Chinese firms  enjoy a plethora of financing opportunities from institutions  like the China Exim Bank, the Bank of China and the China  Development Bank.  Sweeping in behind these deals, Chinese  businesses — from small street traders to mid-sized companies  dealing in everything from construction materials to hotels —  have set up shop across the continent.

Brazilian firms looking to invest in Africa can tap BNDES,  Brazil’s national development bank, for financing, while Banco  do Brasil, Latin America’s largest bank by assets and Brazil’s  biggest state-run bank, announced expansion plans last August to  exploit growing demand for loans and other products in Africa.  But that still leaves Brazil Inc. well behind its Chinese  counterparts. “BNDES plays an important role but it is limited  by the conditions that prohibit it from financing in more  unstable markets,” says Sergio Foldes, international director at  the bank, which has about $2 billion in projects in Africa.

That’s one reason for the huge gap between China and  Brazil’s performance in Africa. Frontier Advisory, a South  African-based consultancy, estimates the number of Chinese firms  operating in Africa rose to 2,000 in 2008 from 800 in 2006.  Those companies range from resource and construction firms to  textile manufacturers and telecommunications companies.  Brazilian companies, on the other hand, tend to be traditional  resource firms like Vale and Petrobras and are concentrated in a  handful of countries: Angola, where Odebrecht has been active  for more than 25 years, Egypt, Mozambique, Nigeria and South  Africa.

Investment levels also tell the tale. By 2007, cumulative  Chinese foreign direct investment in Africa had reached $13.5  billion, or 14 percent of all Chinese FDI, Frontier Advisory  said. Brazilian FDI in Africa between 2001 and 2008 added up to  just $1.12 billion, according to the Brazilian Central Bank.  “Brazilian resource and construction firms … do not offer such  comprehensive packages,” says Hannah Edinger, senior manager and  head of research at Frontier Advisory.

The Brazilian Center for International Relations’ Adriana de  Queiroz concedes that the gap in support for Brazilian business  remains large. “Brazil isn’t in a position to compete with the  (Chinese) model because we can’t even get close to the volume of  financing,” she says. “We don’t have the resources for that.”

Indeed, Chinese foreign exchange reserves at $2.85 trillion  dwarf Brazil’s $298 billion. “Our government is not going to  fund projects in countries where there is a high level of risk,”  says de Queiroz. “Chinese capital, in contrast, has a greater  appetite for risk.”

Brazil knows it has to be more aggressive in financing, says  Brazil’s former foreign trade secretary Welmer Barral. “The  Chinese are very aggressive in finance so we are trying to  empower our capacity to finance different projects in Africa,  especially in construction services.”

A MINE IN GABON

But as one experience in the tiny central African nation of  Gabon seems to show, it’s not just finance where China is more  aggressive.

The rich but technically challenging iron ore concession of  Belinga had been ignored by the international mining community  for years when it came under scrutiny about six years ago thanks  to rocketing iron ore prices. Gabon’s then-president Omar Bongo  had long used the country’s oil wealth to buy social peace,  largely by allowing rampant corruption among his allies and  co-opting and coercing the opposition. But Gabon’s oil reserves  were dwindling and Bongo saw a chance to cash in on another hot  commodity.

In March 2005, Brazilian miner Vale secured an exploration  contract and began work on feasibility studies for an iron ore  mine — a complex undertaking due to environmental concerns.  Before Vale was done with its study, a Chinese joint venture  called CMEC came in promising to complete the job more quickly  and throw in a hydro-electric plant, a railway and deep water  port. When the Brazilians said they were unable to complete the  project as quickly, it was handed to the Chinese.

Local media swiftly reported that corruption had helped in  the decision, though both Chinese and Gabonese officials denied  the allegation. “There was never irrefutable proof that this  happened but I heard that money had changed hands,” says a  western diplomat who was serving in Gabon at the time. The  diplomat says a number of cabinet ministers had been seeking to  take advantage of the ageing president to cut deals behind his  back on the project: “The problem was that Bongo had not been  included in the deal.”

In 2007, according to Brazil’s Folha de S. Paulo newspaper,  quoting leaked U.S. diplomatic cables, senior Vale officials  pointed to the Gabon incident in warnings to the U.S. ambassador  in Brazil that China’s growing influence in Africa threatened  international markets.

In the end, amid warnings from Chinese engineers that the  project was indeed more complicated and expensive than they had  previously claimed, a row broke out over plans to build a dam on  a protected waterfall. The collapse of commodity prices during  the global crisis, and Bongo’s death in 2009 sealed the mining  project’s demise. Ali Bongo, the late president’s son and  successor, has called for a review and there is talk of bringing  the Brazilians back onboard.

For listed companies like Vale “there are constraints on  corporate misconduct. However, in the longer term, Brazilian  companies may see this as a competitive advantage in terms of  differentiating themselves from other emerging market players.  Why compete with the Chinese on that level (of corruption)? It  is better to keep their powder dry and wait for the Chinese to  fall at the technical level,” says Chris Melville, senior  associate at political risk consultancy Menas Associates.  “Unlike their Chinese competitors, Brazilian firms spend a lot  of time and effort seeking to align their interests with those  of their hosts — not just governments, but broader economic and  social interests. They’re still motivated by making profits, of  course, but they recognise that aligned interests are the key to  long-term and sustainable profit-making.”

HELP ON THE FARM

So what, besides jobs and sweet talk, can Brazil offer  Africa?

“For Brazilian companies to compete with Chinese companies,  it is necessary for them to offer more transfer of technology  and more local employment,” says Renato Flores, an analyst at  Fundacao Getulio Vargas, a Brazilian think-tank.

Flores sees Brazil’s greatest potential in agriculture. Over  the last 30 years, Brazil has reversed its status as an importer  of foodstuffs to become a leading producer of soybeans, sugar,  coffee, oranges, poultry and beef. It is a world expert in  bio-fuels. Agricultural exports are around $75 billion a year  and the industry contributes about six percent of Brazil’s GDP.

Almost three-quarters of Africans still rely on the land for  their work, but most farms are subsistence level. The continent  missed the Green Revolution that transformed India and China and  has battled recurrent food shortages. The U.N.’s Food and  Agriculture Organisation estimates Africa needs $11 billion in  agriculture investment a year to feed its growing population.

But change is happening. Corporations, investment funds and  other nations with little land see vast potential in a continent  which uses less than a quarter of its 500 million hectares of  arable land. After years of neglect, African governments have  pledged to devote at least 10 percent of budgets to agriculture  and set themselves the goal of making the continent a net  exporter of agricultural products by 2015.

To unlock its potential, Africa needs to revamp its  infrastructure, introduce large-scale mechanisation and improve  varieties and yields.

That’s where Brazil comes in. Brazil is already making its  research available to various African nations to give their  agricultural sectors a boost. In 2008, the Brazilian  Agricultural Research Corporation EMBRAPA set up shop in Ghana,  for instance. Brazilian scientists began working on everything  from growing and processing tropical fruit and vegetables to  producing meat, managing forests and, significantly, developing  agri-energy.

“One of the expectations is that what we have done in terms  of our tropical agriculture could be replicated in Africa,” says  Antonio Prado, coordinator for international technical  cooperation at EMBRAPA. “There are similarities in soil, climate  and temperatures.”

For now, as in other sectors, real financial muscle is  lacking. At the moment, according to Prado, Brazil’s government  spends just $17 million or so a year on agricultural cooperation  projects in Africa. In 2009, China loaned a single country —  Angola — $1 billion to rebuild its farming sector, crippled by  years of fighting.

But that doesn’t mean Brazil is irrelevant.

“What they are very much trying to do is use their  comparative advantage in a few fields,” Willem Janssen, an  agricultural specialist at the World Bank, adding that  relationships, for now, appeared to be based on knowledge,  rather than money. “You can do that if you believe you have a  lot of knowledge or not a lot of money. It is probably a bit of  both,” he added.

However sweetly Brazil talks, though, there is potential for  friction. Brazil’s biofuel industry is growing fast. It’s  already a leading producer of sugarcane ethanol for cars. The  country is also the world’s sixth largest manufacturer of cars,  the vast majority of them with flex-fuel engines that can run on  both petrol and sugarcane ethanol.

As part of its broader push to compete with China, Brazil  wants to secure a position as a global provider of ethanol. To  do that, it will need a lot of land.

“We are transferring a lot of knowledge and technology about  biofuels to many African countries, on one hand because we  believe it is a way to create wealth locally that is an  alternative for many of these countries,” said Barral, Brazil’s  former trade secretary. “On the other hand to create a world  market for biofuels, we need more partners, we need more  producers.”

But while supporters of biofuel crops say they will help  fight climate change and generate badly needed power and income,  critics say they will take food out of hungry mouths by turning  arable land over to fuel crops, stoking tension with local  communities.

A study by Friends of the Earth last August said biofuel  demand was driving a new “land grab” in Africa. There have been  protests following land acquisitions by foreign companies in  Tanzania, Madagascar and Ghana; tensions are also mounting in  Sierra Leone. If Brazilian biofuel producers push aggressively  into Africa the potential for conflict will grow.

Back in Liberia, Lewis C. Dogar ponders life during his  country’s civil war. Women were raped, children trained as  soldiers, resources plundered.

“It is a story I don’t even want to think about,” he says,  as he recalls the way he had used homemade carts known as  “makeaways” to transport goods from village to village along the  track. “(There were) no brakes. You just looked up to the Lord  and (told) him ‘I am coming home.’“