Dr Clive Thomas

Introduction My two previous columns had addressed taking stock of 1] the ruling resource price on offer to investors for Guyana’s oil exploration and development blocks [that is the Average Effective Tax Rate, AETR, or Government Take ratio, or share of net revenue flows yielded by the  ruling [Stabroek block, PSA] and 2] predictions of Guyana’s supply of recoverable petroleum resources expressed in barrels of oil equivalent, boe [which differs from mine at 28 to 30 million boe;], that is Exxon’s 11 plus billion boe; and the Government of Guyana’s, 24 billion boe].

Introduction Today’s column shifts the focus from taking stock of the prevailing PSA resource price on offer for the rights to extract crude oil towards estimating Guyana’s estimated recoverable oil resources.

Introduction As indicated thus far, in my long-running oil and gas series, within the short period of only three and a half years after its First Discovery in May 2015, Guyana’s First Oil began in December 2019.

Introduction Judging from the frequent feedback, which readers of this column regularly provide to me it seems they are very impressed by the exceptional speed with which Guyana has been able to move from its First Find [May 2015] to its First Oil [December 2019].

Introduction The main focus of today’s column is to wrap-up consideration of the World Bank’s Staff Conclusions reached in its Guyana SCD (Systematic Country Diagnostic), 2020.

Introduction Today’s column looks at chapters 5 and 6 of the  Systematic Country Diagnostic (SCD).

Part 2 Introduction Today’s column focuses on Chapter 4 of the Guyana SCD 2020.

Introduction For readers’ benefit today’s column is devoted to providing careful reporting on the queries and policy prescriptions on offer in the first three chapters of the World Bank’s Staff Guyana SCD Report,2020.

Part 1 Introduction As revealed in this column series thus far, in early 2020, extractivist and neoextractivist-oriented interpretations of the series of prolific oil reservoirs discovered offshore Guyana have already yielded the transformative notion of Guyana as a rapidly emerging Petrostate.

Introduction Let me be clear and categoric at the very inception of today’s column.

Introduction Today’s column reports on the third concept that frames my representation of Guyana as a Petrostate, that is the role of happenstance in the nation’s world-class petroleum finds.

Introduction Last week I displayed the macroeconomic underpinnings in the claim several have made to the effect that “Guyana is the newest petrostate in the Americas”.

Introduction For the convenience of several enquiring readers, I begin today’s column with a brief recap.

Introduction Today’s column continues to elaborate on the meaning I am intending to attach to the three key concepts referred to in last week’s column; namely, extractivism, petrostate and happenstance.

Introduction Last week’s column wrapped-up my effort to overcome the failure after seven consecutive years of weekly assessment of Guyana’s emerging oil and gas sector to devote even a single column each to Hess Corporation or CNOOC Nexen Petroleum Limited, which share a working interest of 30 percent and 25 percent respectively in the Exxon Mobil-led Consortium operating under the Stabroek Block’s PSA, the only crude oil producing exporting entity to date.

Introduction Today I consider the Consortium’s third member, CNOOC Nexen Petroleum Limited; a subsidiary of the CNOOC group and its subsidiary Nexen. 

Introduction Over this week’s and the column to follow I shall provide a summary overview of ExxonMobil’s two consortium partners in crude oil and gas exploration, appraisal and production in Guyana, largely confined so far to the bountiful Stabroek block.

Introduction As promised last week, today’s column and the next two are devoted to an overdue  discussion of the notion of “working interest” as this is freely applied when referring to the grouping or consortium of the three oil companies leading the exploration and production of Guyana’s hydrocarbons in the prolific Stabroek Block.

Introduction In today’s column I wrap-up my revisit of previous calls to build an oil refinery; whether 1] state-owned and or operated 2] as a Joint Venture, JV, or 3] privately owned and operated.

Introduction               For the purposes of today’s column, I shall be revisiting my much earlier evaluation of development analysis and policy, along with my assessment of concrete proposals and studies by the Authorities aimed at evaluating the need for constructing a state-run or joint venture, JV, oil refinery that is designed to contribute value added to Guyana’s crude oil exportation.