King’s Speech, Social Network lead Oscar picks

Melissa Leo

LOS ANGELES (Holly-wood Reporter) – Who will take home Oscar statuettes tomorrow? Based on behind-the-scenes info, The Hollywood Reporter picks the winners in the key races.

Best picture
– The King’s Speech
Three factors favor the Weinstein Co. film over its only serious rival, The Social Network:
Precedent: Speech scored wins at the producers, directors and screen actors guild awards. True, it lost to Social Network at the Golden Globes, but the Globes are hardly a litmus test for the Oscars anymore.

Voters’ Ages: Academy members average out at 57, meaning they’re far more likely to identify with Speech’s middle-aged heroes than Social’s young cast.
The Voting System: In the best picture race, voters