Using foreign trade to forge economic security Part 2

LUCAS STOCK INDEX The Lucas Stock Index (LSI) fell 0.16 per cent during the fourth trading period of November 2015. The stocks of five companies were traded with 331,618 shares changing hands. There were no Climbers but one Tumbler. The stocks of Demerara Tobacco Company (DTC) fell 0.10 per cent on the sale of 2,212 shares. In the meanwhile, the stocks of Banks DIH (DIH), Demerara Distillers Limited (DDL), Guyana Bank for Trade and Industry (BTI) and Republic Bank Limited (RBL) remained unchanged on the sale of 231,246; 91,660; 1,000 and 5,500 shares respectively.

Reasons for trade deficit

As was noted in the first part of this article, trade remains a very important element of the Guyana economy. However, Guyana continues to incur deficits in its international exchange of goods and services. The trade deficit could partially be explained by a lack of comparative advantage and unfavourable movements in the terms of trade, especially in sugar, oil and capital equipment. Most of 20150920lucas business page newGuyana’s sugar, for example, is sold in the protected European market. However, enforcement of trade rules against discriminatory trade practices has forced the European Union to revise its relationship with sugar producers and suppliers of other primary commodities that were sold in the protected European market. Trade deficits carry a negative connotation because they reduce savings and, by inference, the potential for domestic investments. This is the implication of the widening trade deficit of Guyana. An additional implication is that the trade deficit increases Guyana’s need to borrow money from abroad, thereby leading to an increase in claims by foreigners on the resources of the country.

A growing debt is not sustainable either and it is not something that Guyana wants to encourage. This truth comes up against another daunting reality of Guyana’s, that is, the expansion of production and trade requires technology that Guyana does not have. Most, if not all, of the capital equipment that Guyana needs for use in the mining, agricultural, construction, financial, transportation and distributive-trade industries, have to be imported. This is where foreign investment becomes a