Alice set to stay No. 1 at box office

Disney’s 3D fantasy, the latest collaboration between director Tim Burton and Johnny Depp, opened with $116 million last weekend. Industry observers believe Alice will fall 50% or less in its second weekend. As a result, the motion-capture/live-action hybrid might climb above $200 million through its first 10 days.

Meanwhile, Matt Damon’s Iraq War thriller Green Zone appears the strongest of the debutants, and could open with $14 million-$16 million.

But with a budget of at least $100 million, the Universal release will have to take in plenty of green for at least a few weekends if the R-rated picture is to enter the profit zone. A recent surplus of R-rated releases doesn’t help its weekend prospects, and early reviews have been mixed.

Elsewhere, Fox Searchlight opened the Forest Whitaker vehicle Our Family Wedding, targeting urban demos. The film could stuff $11 million or more in its gift pouch.

Summit Entertainment sent out Remember Me, a romantic drama starring Robert Pattinson, with prospects of fetching a similar sum.

Paramount opened the R-rated romantic comedy She’s Out of My League, which boasts a youthful cast and is likely to register only $8 million or so through Sunday.

Summit and Canadian partner Maple re-expanded The Hurt Locker to 348 domestic playdates — up from 275 last weekend — following its big success at the Academy Awards. But despite a victory in the oft-lucrative best picture category, Locker is unlikely to reap dramatic new business theatrically as the Iraq War thriller already is out on home video. The film’s total is approaching $15 million.

Fox Searchlight’s Crazy Heart, for which Jeff Bridges won the best actor statuette Sunday, is set for roughly 1,500 engagements in an expansion from last weekend’s 1,274.

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