Brown leads in Massachusetts Senate race

What once looked likely to be an easy Democratic victory  turned into a desperate scramble after a surge by the  Republican state senator over the past few weeks in the race  for late liberal Democratic icon Edward Kennedy’s old seat. Brown led Democratic state Attorney General Martha Coakley  by a margin of 52 percent to 47 percent, with more than half of  the state’s 2,168 precincts reporting.

A Brown victory over Coakley would rob Democrats of the  60th Senate vote they need to overcome Republican procedural  hurdles.

Voter worries about the economy and healthcare reform have  helped Brown, and Obama made a visit to the state on Sunday to  try to ignite enthusiasm for Coakley.

In Washington, Obama spokesman Robert Gibbs said the  president did not believe healthcare reform would fail if  Coakley loses. But Obama is “both surprised and frustrated” and  “not pleased” by the closeness of the Massachusetts race, Gibbs  said.

Reflecting Wall Street’s expectations for healthcare  reform, investors drove health insurance and drug company  shares higher, betting a Brown victory would at least slow  Obama’s healthcare plans. Hospital companies, which may gain more insured customers  under health reform, saw their shares slump.

“If Brown wins, it is our view that Obamacare will not pass  Congress,” Avik Roy, a healthcare analyst with Monnes Crespi  Hardt, said in a research note.