VIENNA, (Reuters) – Iran yesterday dealt a near-fatal blow to chances of reviving the 2015 Iran nuclear deal as it began removing essentially all the International Atomic Energy Agency monitoring equipment installed under the deal, IAEA chief Rafael Grossi said.
Iran had warned of retaliation if the IAEA’s 35-nation Board of Governors passed a resolution drafted by the United States, France, Britain and Germany criticising Tehran for its continued failure to explain uranium traces found at undeclared sites. The resolution was passed by a crushing majority late on Wednesday.
Iran told the agency overnight it planned to remove equipment including 27 IAEA cameras as of Thursday, which is “basically all” the extra monitoring equipment installed under the 2015 deal going beyond Iran’s core obligations to the agency, Grossi told a news conference.
That leaves a window of opportunity of three to four weeks to restore at least some of the monitoring that is being scrapped, or the IAEA will lose the ability to piece together Iran’s most important nuclear activities, Grossi said.
“I think this would be a fatal blow (to reviving the deal),” Grossi said of what would happen if that window went unused.
A confidential IAEA report to member states on Thursday evening seen by Reuters said IAEA inspectors had removed the IAEA’s cameras at two sites and placed them in storage under IAEA seals there.
U.S. officials speaking on condition of anonymity said even after the three or four week period Iran could still provide additional information to allow for the nuclear deal’s revival.
“We are not on death watch (for the next) three to four weeks,” said a senior U.S. official, saying the deal could be resurrected, although the longer Iran withheld access the more transparency it would have to give the IAEA.
Indirect talks between Iran and the United States on reviving the 2015 deal have been stalled since March.
“You think we would retreat from our positions if you pass a resolution at the (IAEA) Board of Governors? In the name of God and the great nation of Iran, we will not back off a single step from our positions,” Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi said in a speech.
Since then-President Donald Trump pulled Washington out of the deal and re-imposed sanctions against Tehran in 2018, Iran has breached many of the deal’s limits on its nuclear activities. It is enriching uranium to close to weapons-grade.
Western powers warn it is getting closer to being able to sprint towards making a nuclear bomb. Iran denies wanting to.
France, Britain and Germany, the so-called E3, condemned Iran’s actions on Thursday and urged it fully resume its cooperation with the watchdog and end its nuclear escalation.
“These actions only aggravate the situation and complicate our efforts to restore full implementation of the JCPoA. They also cast further doubt on Iran’s commitment to a successful outcome,” the E3 said in a statement that did not include the United States, like on Wednesday.
Washington issued a separate statement, stopping short of condemning Iran’s actions and urging Iran to choose diplomacy and de-escalation.
Iran has been keeping the data recorded by the extra monitoring equipment since February of last year, meaning the IAEA can only hope to access it at a later date. Grossi said it was not clear what would happen to that data now.
He added, however, that more than 40 IAEA cameras would keep operating as part of the core monitoring in Iran that predates the 2015 deal.
Scientists find massive methane leak at Pemex Gulf of Mexico oil field -paper
MEXICO CITY, (Reuters) – Mexican state oil company Petroleos Mexicanos released thousands of tons of methane gas into the atmosphere from an oil and gas platform in the Gulf of Mexico last December, research published yesterday by the European Space Agency (ESA) showed.
Invisible and odorless, but much more harmful to the environment than carbon dioxide, methane is considered a major driver of global warming.
Two satellites recorded images of methane plumes during one “ultraemission” event between Dec. 8 and Dec. 27, the report found.
Researchers led by Itziar Irakulis Loitxate from the Polytechnic University of Valencia calculated about 4,000 tons of methane were released during that time.
Over those 17 days, Pemex – as the company is known – emitted a quantity of methane equivalent to 3.37 million tons of carbon dioxide or 3% of the country’s annual CO2 emissions.
The Gulf of Mexico leak is likely a result of “abnormal process conditions at the site” like malfunctions or equipment issues, researchers concluded.
Neither Pemex, nor the energy ministry responded to requests for comment.
“These are the first detections made from satellites,” Irakulis Loitxate told Reuters. “Without the monitoring approach described in the paper, similar events would remain invisible and unaccounted.”
The emissions happened near the Mexican state of Campeche, in the Gulf of Mexico at the Zaap oil field that forms part of the Ku-Maloob-Zaap cluster, which produces some 20% of the country’s total oil output.
The results are part of a wider study by ESA researchers, who told Reuters the findings demonstrate the growing capabilities to detect and quantify these human-made emissions from space.
Methane is much more powerful at trapping heat than carbon dioxide but only lasts in the atmosphere for about a decade.
To minimize its harmful impact, oil and gas companies aim to flare the methane component of natural gas when comes to the surface as a byproduct of oil production.
Separate satellites detected that a near-constant flare was suddenly absent on Dec. 8, and only sporadically lit up during the “ultraemission” event.
