Despite momentum, no smooth path to climate deal

Seeking to successfully tip the outcome of UN climate  talks on Dec. 7-18 in Copenhagen, the group of more than 50  nations from across the world made the climate change issue the  centerpiece of a three-day summit in Trinidad and Tobago.

They declared firm support for an “operationally binding”  deal to be achieved in Copenhagen that would cover tougher  greenhouse gas emissions targets, climate adaptation financing  for poorer nations and transfer of clean-energy technology.

The Commonwealth group, which welcomed Rwanda as its 54th  member (see story on this page), called for a full legally binding climate treaty to be  adopted “no later than 2010” and insisted fast funding be made  available to poor states to counter the global warming threat. Commonwealth leaders hailed the consensus achieved in their  Port of Spain Climate Change Declaration as improving the odds  for a comprehensive agreement in Copenhagen and as proof that  their geographically diverse group was a viable institution.

“There is heavy traffic on the road to Copenhagen. The good  news is that it is converging and hopefully moving purposefully  into a single lane,” Commonwealth Secretary-General Kamalesh  Sharma said in comments closing the Port of Spain summit.

UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon and the presidents of  Denmark and France, had participated in the Commonwealth  summit, adding weight to the group’s climate deliberations.

“I have no doubt it will make an impact on Copenhagen,”  South African President Jacob Zuma told reporters.

But even as the Commonwealth leaders were congratulating  themselves on their climate consensus, European Commission  President Jose Manuel Barroso was declaring in China that  pledges made so far by governments to cut greenhouse gases were  not sufficient for an effective pact to fight global warming.

“If you sum up all the commitments made so far, according  to our estimates, we are not yet where we should be if we want  Copenhagen to succeed,” said Barroso, who will attend a  European Union-China summit in Nanjing on Monday.

“There is still much work to be done,” acknowledged  Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd in Port of Spain.
Although prospects for a broad political framework pact on  climate change were brightened last week by public promises of  greenhouse gas curbs by leading emitters China and the United  States, Barroso’s blunt comments delivered a reality check on  the contentious path to next month’s Copenhagen talks.

The world’s industrialized powers are under pressure to  make substantial cuts in their greenhouse gas emissions.

At the same time, developing countries, including tiny  island states which risk disappearing if ocean levels continue  to rise through global warming, are clamoring for tens of  billions of dollars of aid to help them fight climate change.

Developed countries like Britain and France put an offer of  a $10-billion-a-year Copenhagen Launch Fund on the table, but  while developing countries welcomed what they called this  “interim financing” they said much more, perhaps up to $300  billion, might be needed to make a global climate deal work.

Canada, whose conservative government has been accused of  dragging its feet on global warming, cautiously announced it  would make “minor adjustments” in its existing plan to cut  greenhouse gases by 20 per cent by 2020 from 2006 levels.

This responded to a pledge by US President Barack Obama  last week to reduce his country’s emissions by roughly 17  per cent below 2005 levels by 2020.

Reflecting the sensitivity of emissions cuts in  industrialized economies, Canadian Prime Minister Stephen  Harper explained why his country needed to keep its emissions  goals in line with its US neighbour.

“If the United States is making the same kinds of  reductions that we are, yes, these still have costs, but they  don’t have costs that cause Canadian industry to relocate south  of the border,” he told reporters in Port of Spain.

“So I think modest achievable targets, particularly in the  short term, will get the planet on the right track,” he added  — a position that counters calls from many quarters for much  more substantial emissions cuts to make a climate pact viable.