US forecaster sees increased 2010 hurricane threat

In its second forecast in four months for the 2010 season,  the leading storm research team founded by hurricane forecast  pioneer William Gray said the six-month season beginning on  June 1 would likely see 15 named tropical storms.

The team forecast a 69 per cent chance of at least one major  hurricane making landfall on the US coastline in 2010,  compared with a long-term average probability of 52 per cent.

“While patterns may change before the start of the  hurricane season, we believe current conditions warrant concern  for an above-average season,” Gray said in a statement.

An average Atlantic season has about 10 tropical storms, of  which six become hurricanes.

The Colorado State University team also predicted a 58  per cent chance of a major hurricane tracking into the  Caribbean, where Haiti is vulnerable after a devastating Jan.  12 earthquake that left more than a million people homeless.